The real promise of gold is not just a rate cut or two...and not really ‘easier borrowing costs.’ Gold may be a good gamble now...but in the long run it is just a way not to lose money.
The gold standard came into being in the 18th century. It got gassed in WWI. Then, after WWII, it was re-established, sort of. The dollar was made the key financial reserve. It was linked to gold.
There’s a big difference between having the best growth rates and having the worst. And if you don’t know which you have, you’re probably headed to trouble. Which is exactly where the US is headed.
Gold is not an investment; it’s a place to put your money while you wait for a good investment to come along. It’s not a wealth creator; it’s a wealth preserver.
The new money system distorted just about everything, leaving the world with a vast fake economy...and more than $300 trillion in debt. In the US alone total debt rose from about $1.5 trillion in 1971
Thanks largely to the EZ money era wrought by America’s funny money, the world’s reserve currency, feds everywhere spend too much money. Economies adapted to the cash flow.
Tariffs are essentially a sales tax. And a sales tax — averaging maybe 15% — is going to reduce consumer purchasing power…and cut into sales and profits. That is, it will be downer.
When the stock market is low, bad news is expected; it does little damage. But at the top almost anything can cause a crash…while there is almost no ‘good news’ that will send stocks higher.
With the tariffs, the Trump team is retesting the notion that central planning can do a better job of making trade decisions than individual buyers and sellers with skin in the game.
Even in a consensual democracy, the yoke of a police state never entirely disappears, but it is light...and controlled by accepted rules. We all drive on the right...and get where we are going.
Publisher’s Note: While Bill Bonner’s latest commentary focuses on U.S. policy, the implications stretch far beyond Washington. When the world’s largest economy begins manipulating trade…
It’s not hard for us to imagine what might happen if Donald Trump were to have direct control of Fed policy. He’s already said the Fed should cut rates by 300 basis points.
As the ancients put it, no man ever born of woman ever survives. And none ever gets through his life without making mistakes. Vanity, hatred, envy — the sins to which flesh is heir — always show up.
Fake growth produces high asset prices, increased sales and profits, and raises debt levels. It distorts the economy...uses up precious time and resources (capital!)...and actually makes us poorer.
We only know if things are worth doing when and if people — of their own free will and with their own real money — pay for them. Otherwise, the transaction is likely to be a scam or a mistake.