Geopolitics

Rules of engagement

5 March 2026
A rainy winter. Two new wars. And a world that seems to be slipping back toward chaos. Bill connects the dots behind the headlines — and explains why investors may want to keep an umbrella handy.

Paper Privilege

20 February 2026
The US reneged on its promise to exchange dollars for gold in August of 1971. Dollars were still the world’s reserve currency, but nobody had any guarantee that they would remain limited and valuable.

The Fix is In

9 February 2026
A US Fed chair nomination might sound like inside baseball. It isn’t. With global liquidity already under strain and Japan’s bond market cracking, a shift at the Fed could trigger sudden repricing across sterling assets. This essay explains why Kevin Warsh’s appointment matters — and what it signals for the next phase of global markets.

Happy Vassals

2 February 2026
Markets don’t move on headlines. They move on confidence, capital flows, and trust. As global alliances shift and large investors quietly rethink where their money feels safest, UK investors may be more exposed than they realise — particularly through currency risk and global portfolio concentration.

Bubble Dollar Danger

26 January 2026
The trick for investors and savers is to avoid the rush. The doors welcoming you into the bubble country may be wide. But the door out the back squeezes tight as soon as you try to get out.

On to Moscow!

6 January 2026
That is the magic of History...leaders are delusional when they need to be, and then, crowds fall into line behind the goofiest, most destructive programs. ‘On to Moscow,’ yell the soldiers...

The Underlying Malady

23 December 2025
Almost all instances of imperial decline are accompanied by monetary decline, manifesting itself as inflation, corruption, and/or bankruptcy. But the real process is profound and mostly invisible

The “Old Money” Secret to Wealth

9 December 2025
What can a 900-year-old Roman dynasty teach today’s investors about protecting wealth in an age of inflation, digital currencies and financial instability? As Jim Rickards explains, the answer lies in a timeless allocation used by “old money” for centuries — and a surprising fourth asset now joining the list.