Editor’s note: While Bill writes from the perspective of an American watching his country edge closer to chaos, the implications are global — and deeply relevant to UK investors. If conflict in the Middle East escalates, energy markets will feel it first.

That means volatility in oil prices, inflation pressure in Europe, and ripple effects across global markets. And if more Americans begin seeking safety abroad, UK property, residency programs, and even alternative asset markets could see renewed demand. In short: geopolitical upheaval doesn’t stop at national borders — it crosses oceans, disrupts economies, and reshapes portfolios. Stay alert.

 

‘Bomb, bomb, bomb…bomb, bomb Iran.’

–John McCain

‘What to do with your money now’ will have to wait.

Steve Bannon alerted his War Room audience on Saturday: ‘the party is on.’ Reuters:

Oil prices jumped on Monday to their highest since January as Washington’s weekend move to join Israel in attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities stoked supply worries.

Brent crude futures rose $1.88 or 2.44% at $78.89 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude advanced $1.87 or 2.53% at $75.71.

Yes, the US is at war! CBS:

The president described the strikes on Iranian nuclear sites as a “spectacular military success.” He warned of “far greater” attacks if Iran does not “make peace.”

“There will be either peace or there will be tragedy for Iran far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days,” Mr. Trump said. “Remember, there are many targets left.“

Fox News’ Kayleigh McEnany said that now “every dictator in the world is on notice.” Trump had sent them a “powerful message.”

But it may not have been the message most Americans would want them to hear. The bombers say they are only trying to keep Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. But Iran had already agreed not to make a nuke. And it had gone along with diplomatic negotiations…rules…inspections…non-proliferation treaties — all intended to keep it from doing so.

But it got bombed anyway. The lesson is clear: The only way to protect yourself is to get nukes fast…and be ready to use them. Or, partner up with a credible nuclear protector — perhaps Russia or China.

Since WWII, there have been plenty of wars…but few victory parades. Korea, Vietnam, Honduras, Nicaragua, Grenada, Kuwait, Kosovo, etc. etc. Iraq, and Afghanistan. But Mr. Trump must have felt left out. He was the only US president in the 21st century who had not started a costly, pointless war. And who knows, maybe this one will turn out better than all the others.

But ours is not to reason why. Ours is merely to get out of town while we still can. At least that’s what a lot of Americans are thinking. The Financial Times:

A growing number of Americans are quietly assembling a contingent plan for life abroad in case the US becomes too uncomfortable.

Home is where the heart is. But history tells us that there are good times to be somewhere else. The French in 1914…the Russians in 1917…Germans in 1933. The French suffered a “lost generation” in the Great War. More than one million young men were killed. Ten million Russians died in the Bolshevik Revolution and its aftermath; the other spent the next 70 years trapped in a sad, dreary place. And between WWII and the intentional murder of gypsies, Jews, homosexuals, and communists — the Germans lost eight million or so.

And now Americans are beginning to squirm. And wonder.

Twice as many Americans as Chinese have applied for Portugal’s Golden Visas; are they twice as eager to leave home? Applications for passports from Ireland increased 60% in January and February.

“The American professional classes” says Alastair Bonnett, quoted by the FT, are “joining the super-rich Chinese, Russians and others who have long sought an insurance policy against an unsympathetic government who might imprison them or seize their property.”

Your editor is, of course, way ahead on this trend — both personally and professionally. He began a magazine in 1979 — International Living. Back then, we had no fear of the US government. Habeas corpus still protected Americans from their own government; today, merely having a tattoo may be enough to get you disappeared into a Central American prison. And if the feds wanted a war, they had to at least pretend to have a casus belli, such as the phony Tonkin Gulf incident.

No more…politics and violence are on the rise; it’s the Primary Political Trend.

So far, we Americans probably have little to worry about. After all, the Iranians don’t have B-2 bombers! But people (including whole nations) go crazy from time to time. All you can do is to avoid getting caught up in the madness — either as a participant or a victim.

The FT quotes a couple who recently moved to Panama:

‘It’s something we never thought we’d have to think about, let alone do. There’s a growing sadness about what is going on out there…’

Regards,

Bill Bonner
Contributing Editor, Investor’s Daily

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